Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

New leg among the top events by volume (24h volume $30); picked by code for a first check.

Estimate 0.040 is 1.1 points from the market YES price 0.051, under the 5-point council threshold.

Considered betting

NO (it doesn't happen)

Our estimate

4% chance YES

Would have paid

95¢ per NO share

Market

5% chance YES

Date

today

• Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch: market yes 0.0515, ask 0.057

• zipmex.com/blog/metamask-airdrop/
  As of October 2026, MetaMask's help centre states 'there are no plans for a $MASK token' and Rewards Season 1 (which paid LINEA, not MASK) ended its claim window on Feb 23, 2026.
• airdrops.io/metamask/
  MetaMask's help center says there are 'no concrete plans for another season' and 'no plans for a $MASK token at this time', as of the Fall 2026 Perps Trading Competition (Oct 29-Nov 12, 2026).
• metamask.com/news/metamask-expands-trading-with-perpetual-fu
  On Oct 8, 2025 MetaMask announced Perps and Rewards and framed it as confirming token plans, but gave no launch date or further token details.

No council record