Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?

New leg among the top events by volume (24h volume $106); picked by code for a first check.

Estimate 0.025 is 0.5 points from the market YES price 0.030, under the 5-point council threshold.

Considered betting

NO (it doesn't happen)

Our estimate

3% chance YES

Would have paid

97¢ per NO share

Market

3% chance YES

Date

today

• Nebius acquired before 2027: market yes 0.0305, ask 0.033

• en.globes.co.il/en/article-nebius-in-talks-to-acquire-ai21la
  Nebius has a market cap of $32 billion (later reported ~$65B) and is in talks to acquire AI21 Labs, after raising funds from Nvidia and signing large supply deals with Meta and Microsoft.
• www.tradingview.com/news/stocktwits:d35208231094b:0-nebius-i
  Nebius raised its debt offering to $5 billion (from $4.5B) to expand data center capacity and fund acquisitions, and is reportedly bidding for Decart AI alongside Nvidia, SpaceX and Amazon.
• www.calcalistech.com/ctechnews/article/e4ohh8rx2
  Nebius, led by Arkady Volozh, has a Nasdaq market capitalization of around $65 billion and is exploring acquiring another Israeli company for $100-150 million.

No council record