REJECTED — Price already looks about right

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

View market on Polymarket →

Why it looked attractive

New leg among the top events by volume (24h volume $132); picked by code for a first check.

Why it was rejected

Estimate 0.020 is 1.8 points from the market YES price 0.038, under the 5-point council threshold.

Considered betting
NO (it doesn't happen)
Our estimate
2% chance YES
Would have paid
97¢ per NO share
Market
4% chance YES
Date
today
Key figures
  • Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch: market yes 0.038, ask 0.044
Evidence sources
  • zipmex.com/blog/metamask-airdrop/
    As of October 2026, MetaMask's help center states 'there are no plans for a $MASK token,' and Consensys announced on Sept 9, 2026 it is splitting into two companies (MetaMask and a new Consensys) with separation expected complete by end of 2026.
  • airdrops.io/metamask/
    MetaMask Rewards Season 1 (Oct 28, 2025 - Jan 23, 2026) paid rewards in $LINEA tokens, not MASK, its claim window closed in Feb 2026, and MetaMask's help center says there are no concrete plans for another season or for a $MASK token.
Council verdicts

No council record