Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

New leg among the top events by volume (24h volume $175); picked by code for a first check.

Estimate 0.070 is 3.0 points from the market YES price 0.040, under the 5-point council threshold.

Considered betting

YES (it happens)

Our estimate

7% chance YES

Would have paid

5¢ per YES share

Market

4% chance YES

Date

today

• Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch: market yes 0.04, ask 0.05

• www.theblock.co/news/ecosystems/2026-03-16-opensea-delays-se
  On March 16, 2026, OpenSea CEO Devin Finzer announced the SEA token generation event (originally slated for the March 30 event / Q1 2026) was delayed with no new target date given, citing challenging crypto market conditions.
• peoplelikecrypto.com/airdrops/opensea-sea/
  As of an October 7, 2026 correction, OpenSea's blog posts from late August to early October 2026 carry no SEA token update, and no new launch date, snapshot, or weighting has been published since the March postponement.
• www.theblock.co/news/web3/2025-10-18-opensea-sets-sea-token-
  OpenSea's October 2025 token announcement allocated 50% of total SEA supply to community/OG users and committed 50% of platform revenue to token buybacks at launch.

No council record