Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 20?
New leg among the top events by volume (24h volume $1,006); picked by code for a first check.
Estimate 0.820 is 3.5 points from the market YES price 0.855, under the 5-point council threshold.
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through Nov 20: market yes 0.855, ask 0.87
- www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/11/9/iran-stands-by-demands-to-e As of Nov 9, 2026, overnight US strikes hit Qeshm Island; Iran's foreign ministry spokesman rejected US characterization of its demands, and talks to prevent 'large-scale US attacks on Iran' are ongoing with no breakthrough.
- www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj6ge150z5go On June 8, 2026, Israel and Iran said they had halted strikes on each other after trading fire for the first time since the April truce, following a Trump appeal to 'stop shooting.'
- jinsa.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/11/Iran-War-Update-11.9.26 JINSA's Nov 7-9, 2026 update logs 620+ Iranian missiles/drones launched since July 7 and continuing US strikes on Qeshm Island (Nov 8-9), but no entry describing a direct Israeli strike on Iranian territory or an Iranian strike on Israel in this period.
No council record