Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?

New leg among the top events by volume (24h volume $176); picked by code for a first check.

Estimate 0.090 is 4.5 points from the market YES price 0.045, under the 5-point council threshold.

Considered betting

YES (it happens)

Our estimate

9% chance YES

Would have paid

6¢ per YES share

Market

5% chance YES

Date

today

• HYPE dip to $40 by Dec 31 2026: yes 0.0455, ask 0.056
• HYPE current spot: $72.91-$76.31 (Nov 9 2026 Binance/various)

• www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid
  HYPE reached an all-time high of $97.96 and traded 23.6% below that peak as of query time (price $73.52-$76.31 range on Nov 9 2026).
• cryptokeyhole.com/hyperliquid-price-history/
  HYPE's monthly lowest close in 2026 was $20.99 on 20 Jan 2026, and its largest cycle drawdowns from an all-time-high close were -68.0% and -64.2%, both deeper than the 46% drop needed to reach $40 from the current $73.52 level.

No council record