Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?

New leg among the top events by volume (24h volume $1,168); picked by code for a first check.

Estimate 0.100 is 1.5 points from the market YES price 0.085, under the 5-point council threshold.

Considered betting

YES (it happens)

Our estimate

10% chance YES

Would have paid

9¢ per YES share

Market

9% chance YES

Date

today

• Will Tom Homan leave before 2027: yes 0.085, ask 0.09

• www.yahoo.com/news/articles/kristi-noem-sidelined-tom-homan-
  Homan is making a concerted effort to build a relationship with incoming DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin, and a White House official said his role 'isn't changing.'
• www.democracydefendersfund.org/news/virginia-tax-officials-s
  On November 6, 2026, three watchdog groups sent a letter asking Virginia's Tax Commissioner to investigate Homan over the $50,000 cash payment; the federal DOJ bribery probe into the same incident was already closed.
• www.foxnews.com/media/homan-vows-immigration-mission-wont-sk
  On April 3, 2026, Homan said the administration's immigration enforcement 'won't skip a beat' despite AG Pam Bondi's firing, indicating he remains actively engaged and not sidelined.

No council record