Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?
New leg among the top events by volume (24h volume $1,423); picked by code for a first check.
Estimate 0.060 is 1.4 points from the market YES price 0.074, under the 5-point council threshold.
Flagged greenvilleherald.com as an apparent fabricated/AI-generated news article (false Bessent resignation claim, with a disclosed synthetic illustration) that contradicts official sources -- excluded from the estimate, noting it per the injection-defense rule.
- Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027: No corroborated resignation reporting from official or mainstream sources as of Nov 9, 2026; one unreliable fabricated article found and excluded.
- home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0684 Official Nov 6, 2026 Treasury press release names Scott Bessent as sitting Secretary of the Treasury, conducting a call with China's Vice Premier He Lifeng.
- en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Department_of_the_Treasury_app The Treasury appointments table lists Scott Bessent as Secretary of the Treasury since Jan 28, 2025 with no 'left office' date recorded.
- fortune.com/2026/11/09/us-debt-limit-outlook-xdate-deadline- Nov 9, 2026 Fortune article discusses Bessent's Treasury handling the debt limit outlook, treating him as the current Treasury Secretary with no mention of departure.
No council record