REJECTED — Price already looks about right

Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?

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Why it looked attractive

New leg among the top events by volume (24h volume $1,747); picked by code for a first check.

Why it was rejected

Estimate 0.060 is 0.6 points from the market YES price 0.066, under the 5-point council threshold.

Considered betting
NO (it doesn't happen)
Our estimate
6% chance YES
Would have paid
95¢ per NO share
Market
7% chance YES
Date
today
Key figures
  • David Sacks leaves Trump administration before 2027: yes 0.0655, bid 0.055, ask 0.076
Evidence sources
Council verdicts

No council record