Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
New leg among the top events by volume (24h volume $3,311); picked by code for a first check.
Estimate 0.050 is 1.9 points from the market YES price 0.031, under the 5-point council threshold.
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty by Dec 31 2026: yes 0.031, ask 0.042
- www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/11/9/no-concession-what-to-expec Ukraine categorically rejected the demands to cede territory, including areas Russia has failed to capture militarily, and all the analysts quoted were certain no peace accord would emerge from the Abu Dhabi talks.
- www.euronews.com/2026/11/09/trump-says-post-war-ukraine-will Trump told CBS's '60 Minutes' on Nov 9, 2026 that Ukraine will end up with 'a little bit different shape' but did not specify what territorial changes he envisioned, and talks were scheduled for Nov 10-11 in Abu Dhabi.
- apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-putin-zelenskyy-uae-81 Russia and Ukraine remain far apart on key elements of any prospective peace deal; Putin wants Ukraine to pull troops back from the four regions Russia claims to have annexed.
No council record